There is debate in the community on whether the token price will rise or fall in the upcoming year. Most analysts and technical indicators predict it will bottom out between $12,000 and $16,000 in the forthcoming months.
This is related to a volatile macroeconomic climate, stock prices, inflation, data from the Federal Reserve, and (at least in Elon Musk’s estimation) a potential recession that might endure until 2024.
Influencers, BTC maximalists, and a variety of other genuine “shills” claim the price might rise to $80,000 and beyond.
Both sides have proof to back them up. They might have different temporal boundaries, which is one problem. There is a compelling argument to be made that BTC is expected to decline significantly in the coming months but may then increase in mid-to-late 2023.
Claims in favor of a 2023 BTC price increase
The four-year market cycle, which includes accumulation (buying), an upswing, distribution (selling), and a collapse, generally coincides with bull runs in the bitcoin price. The accumulation phase of this process is widely anticipated to begin around 2023. However, it may be delayed until 2024.
However, evidence suggests that valuations would rise around the middle of 2023. Kevin Svenson believes a bull market will begin around April after the 80-week bear market concludes.
These price rises over time are also encouraged by Bitcoin’s deflationary characteristics, manifested in its “halving” events. (The compensation for miners is reduced in half as a result of halvings. The following one is planned for April 2024.) Despite market volatility, Bitcoin’s deflationary characteristics lead to price growth for long-term investors.
However, beware of the hype Markets, and critical decision-makers fully know that greed sells. Be wary of projections that Ether will grow ten times by 2023. Furthermore, despite these assurances, Bitcoin is not expected to release only $100,000 or even come close to it.
According to dim predictions, BTC could decline to $3,500.
Other experts predict there will be a boom in at least 2023. There is a remote possibility that it may even fall to $3,500, according to Gareth Soloway of InTheMoneyStocks:
As Bitcoin develops and regulation boosts consumer confidence, there will be a pivot. In the near future, there will be a slight bounce soon, followed by a wave down from $12,000 to $13,000. However, this wave could eventually fall below $10,000 to $8,000 and, in the worst-case scenario, $3,500. This would be comparable to the collapse of Amazon.com during the dot-com era.
Miners might not be financially viable to maintain the ecosystem if BTC falls to $12,000 or less. That would result in transactions no longer being completed, which may be disastrous for the sector.
Furthermore, it’s important to remember that there has yet to be a substantial correlation between cryptocurrency pricing and widespread acceptance, a dangerous trend. The amount of capital invested in a specific asset by investors (mostly whales and institutions) through derivative contracts and other financial instruments directly impacts the price of cryptocurrencies.
A bold attitude despite the changing times
Regarding BTC price cycles, there are still some issues to be resolved. Some claim that these four-year cycles are no longer relevant for various reasons. In contrast to prior processes, the first is that most BTC is one of many games in town.
It is competing against a range of cryptocurrencies that are superior in almost all ways, as well as decentralized financing (DeFi), GameFi, nonfungible tokens (NFTs), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), Web3 enterprises, and several noticeably more profitable investment mechanisms. For Web3 and DeFi, you need to purchase ETH, not BTC. Many expect that when public “interest in DeFi” rises, BTC will also increase. This is untrue.
However, it remains a household name in the cryptocurrency and is one of the first coins institutions to choose when becoming involved. The price of Bitcoin will rise in the middle of 2023, albeit we’ll experience a decline soon.
A hint that whales are stockpiling and saving for volatile times is the removal of more than 38,000 BTC worth $750 million on Oct. 18 from cryptocurrency exchanges to private wallets. Typically, moves away from exchanges are seen as optimistic indicators. The interest from institutions and pension plans has led Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, to be bullish on bitcoin. Why buy gold, silver, or bitcoin, he tweeted on Oct. 7.
Increased GSBC purchases are a result of the Bank of England pivot. The pension crisis revealed that central banks are powerless to repair INFLATION. Historically, pension funds have invested in G&S. Pension funds are currently buying bitcoin. They know the doom of fake money, stocks, and bonds.
IS a BTC spike signaling the end of the world?
The irony of BTC maximalists is that they believe that a collapse of established institutions and the US currency (in particular) would be advantageous for Bitcoin and the larger “decentralized” community. According to them, Bitcoin is well-positioned to become the new financial system required if governments collapse.
The theory is that there is a linear relationship between the demise of the fiat infrastructure and an increase in the price of bitcoin, where greater volatility is correlated with more significant price increases. The decentralized community won’t do anything more than “fill the void” when the world implodes.
The price of energy would undoubtedly soar if the oil-USD exchange rate fell. Additionally, it would indicate a Bitcoin environment that would not be viable due to problems with mining. With its September Merge, which eliminated miners from the equation and reduced its carbon footprint by 99.99%, Ethereum addressed this issue.
Additionally, a total collapse would render USD valuations useless. What worth would $1 million in Bitcoin have if it couldn’t be used to purchase a loaf of bread if hyperinflation were to occur? Bitcoin typically benefits from volatility, but only up to a point.
Bitcoin maximalists should exercise caution while making wishes: If their requests are granted, it might also be disastrous for the USD and Bitcoin.